A 2021 PacBio Sequel IIe closed with a $25 winning-bid observation, but unknown deficiencies, no functional evidence, 798 lb removal, software/infrastructure uncertainty, and a 2028 support sunset leave only a roughly $50 blind hammer ceiling.
The auction bid ceiling supported by this analysis, if one is defensible; see costs below for buyer-premium treatment.
Why this decision
BUY only at or below the roughly $50 blind ceiling: the $25 closing high / winning-bid observation is below it, but removal, specialist verification, unknown deficiencies, and serviceability can eliminate the margin.
See costs and maximum bid for the displayed assumptions and buyer-premium treatment.
GSA Auctions sale 3-1-QSC-I-26-508, lot 032 · Kerrville, Texas
Snapshot observed August 29, 2026
Scheduled close August 12, 2026
Analysis prepared August 29, 2026
Published August 29, 2026 · page updated August 29, 2026
Prepared and published by Oleksii Udod for LotCaliper.
This auction snapshot is historical. Continue with related research, or review a relevant published analysis whose recorded scheduled close has not passed.
These are individually prepared, time-stamped analyses with recorded scheduled closes. Verify the official auction before acting.
Auction snapshot
At the August 29, 2026 historical review, detailed bid history showed a $25 closing high / winning-bid observation with one bidder. It does not prove payment, award, pickup, or final settlement.
A high original capital-equipment price does not make an untested specialist platform an arbitrage: lifecycle, functional state, support, logistics, and a complete workflow determine resale value.
Independent review not recorded for this legacy analysis. No corrections recorded.
Independent review not recorded
Published before the current independent-review gate; no completed independent review is recorded.
How independent review worksSeller facts, photo-derived observations, manufacturer context, unknowns, and LotCaliper assumptions remain explicitly separated.
Source Confirmed
Photo Derived
Not Established
Manufacturer Context
Lotcaliper Assumption
Laboratory · quantity 1
Identity confidence: High
Seller evidence and manufacturer plate establish one 2021 PacBio Sequel IIe, part number 101-986-400.
GSA Auctions · Image · observed August 29, 2026
Confirmed · High confidence
Supplied auction photographs show the main cabinet, touchscreen, panels, and plate.
GSA Auctions · Image · observed August 29, 2026
Not established · no source evidence establishes presence or absence
Auction evidence does not establish a transferable or complete sequencing workflow beyond the main instrument.
GSA Auctions · Image · observed August 29, 2026
As-is / repair risk
Evidence confidence: High
Seller condition statement, paraphrased.
GSA Auctions · Text · observed August 29, 2026
Untested
Evidence confidence: High
Supplied source record and photographs do not establish functional operation.
GSA Auctions · Image · observed August 29, 2026
Market evidence strength
Medium
Public auditability
Limited Legacy
Evidence recency
Not Recorded
No structured comparable-evidence metadata was preserved for this dated snapshot. Public auditability is limited; the numeric resale snapshot cannot be independently audited from comparable records on this page.
Legacy evidence counts were not preserved. Unknown is not reported as zero.
Survives
The published decision survives the selected downside check under the stated bounded assumptions.
At the preserved $25 closing high / winning-bid observation, the model produces about $1,425 profit and 31.5% ROI. This is not represented as a settled sale.
| Transaction / operating cost | Amount | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Selling Fees | $1,050 | LotCaliper assumption: 15% of modeled gross resale. |
| Shipping | $2,000 | LotCaliper pickup, packing, rigging, and inbound-logistics reserve; not a carrier or GSA quote. |
| Testing Repair Reserve | $1,000 | LotCaliper functional-test and diagnostic reserve. |
| Risk Buffer | $1,500 | Unknown deficiencies, internal completeness, second-owner serviceability, software/infrastructure, specialist liquidity, and return exposure. |
Profit floor: $950
ROI floor: $77
Binding: ROI floor
This is a reseller ceiling, not a prediction of the auction's closing price. Any buyer premium or other unquoted acquisition charge must be deducted before bidding.
The strongest realized exact-part-number evidence involved systems in OEM crates, which is materially better preparation than this unknown-deficiency GSA unit. Current asking evidence ranges from low four figures to higher working-state asks, so original list price and dealer asks are not the valuation basis.
The $25 observation is favorable only if professional removal, service, and functional verification can be controlled. A major internal fault, inability to obtain service, or higher removal cost can erase the BUY conclusion.
Snapshot decision
BUYBUY only at or below the roughly $50 blind ceiling: the $25 closing high / winning-bid observation is below it, but removal, specialist verification, unknown deficiencies, and serviceability can eliminate the margin.
Market support assesses how well the available evidence supports the resale assumption. Exact third-party marketplace records may be omitted when source-use rights are unclear. Each dimension uses the published methodology rubric; a confidence label measures the strength and boundedness of its evidence, not the likelihood of a profitable outcome.
High · Functionality Unverified
A meaningful verification requires specialist diagnostics and more than power-on.
High · Oem Support Horizon
Published lifecycle context shortens the remaining supported ownership window.
High · Heavy Logistics
The logistics reserve is a decision-model assumption, not a quote.
High · Workflow Incomplete
A complete-looking cabinet is not a turnkey sequencing workflow.
Official public provenance for auction facts; no unverified direct item URL is invented.
Official lifecycle context, including sales end and support horizon; linked and paraphrased.
Official part-number, physical, facility, and research-use-only context; linked and paraphrased.
